Modelaje de la Distribución geográfica de Pinus pseudostrobus y P. leiophylla

Cuauhtémoc Sáenz Romero1, CONABIO Comisión nacional para el conocimiento y uso de la biodiversidad2

1 Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo
Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias y Forestales, Unidad San Juanito Itzícuaro, Av. San Juanito Itzícuaro s/n Col. San Juanito Itzícuaro, 58330, Morelia, Mexico; 2 Comisión Nacional para el Conocimiento y Uso de la Biodiversidad, Liga Periférico-Insurgentes Sur No. 4903, Col. Parques del Pedregal, 14010, MÉXICO, Mexico

Corresponding author(s): Cuauhtémoc Sáenz Romero, CONABIO Comisión nacional para el conocimiento y uso de la biodiversidad (patricia.ramos@conabio.gob.mx)

Received {date}; Revised {date}; Accepted {date}; Published {date}

Citation: Combination of authors, year of data paper publication (in parentheses), Title, Journal Name, Volume, Issue number (in parentheses), and doi of the data paper.

Resource Citation

'Sáenz-Romero C., E. G. Rehfeldt, J. M. Ortega-Rodríguez y M. C. Marín-Togo. 2014. Modelaje de la Distribución geográfica de Pinus pseudostrobus y P. leiophylla. Unidad San Juanito Itzícuaro. Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias y Forestales. Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo. Bases de datos SNIB-CONABIO, proyecto JM036. México, D. F.'

Abstract

The objective of the proposal is to model the geographic distribution of Pinus psedostrobus and P. leiophylla, by predicting the distribution of their suitable habitat from climate variables. Both species are very important on their ecological role as components of the pine-oak and coniferous forest in México. Pinus psedostrobus is one of the most economically important species in the Neovolcanic Axis (named also Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt) for its good wood quality, relatively fast growth rate and straight stem.  P. leiophylla is usually heavily tapped for resin production and its distribution reaches southern USA, making it a subject for bi-national interest due to its potential to colonize USA grassland-forest transition areas under climatic change scenarios. We will use presence/absence data from (a previously screened for errors) Mexican National Forest Inventory and climatic variables estimated by a spline climate model. Presence or absence in the contemporary climate will be predicted from climate variables obtained for each observation from spline climate surfaces available for Mexico and the rest of North America. A climate profile for each species will be constructed by selecting 5 to 8 of the most relevant climatic variables from 36 climatic variables using the  Random Forests algorithm in R. Relevant climate variables are selected according to importance values calculated by the statistical software and according to the errors of prediction of the classification tree. The best fitting models will be used to predict the suitability of the climate for the species on maps gridded at 1 km2 , and distribution maps will be constructed with ArcMap. As an extra product, we will predict the distribution of their suitable habitat for the years 2030, 2060 and 2090, using combinations of three General Circulation Models and two emission scenarios (low and elevated emissions). We considered that management plans for both biological conservation and commercial use must consider actions to accommodate the climatic change, such as assisted migration or assisted colonization.
Reino: 1
Filo: 1
Clase: 1
Orden: 1
Familia: 1
Género: 1
Subgénero: 1
Especie: 2

Keywords: Occurrence, Plantas, Occurrence

Project details

Project title: Modelaje de la Distribución geográfica de Pinus pseudostrobus y P. leiophylla
Personnel: Gerald E. Rehfeldt, Cuauhtémoc Sáenz Romero
Funding: Comisión Nacional para el Conocimiento y Uso de la Biodiversidad (CONABIO)
Study area descriptions/descriptor: Plantas
sin flores, con semillas, sin frutos como abetos, araucarias, cedros, cícadas, cipreses, efedras, ginkgos, pinos, secuoyas

Data published through GBIF: https://www.snib.mx/iptconabio/resource?r=SNIB-JM036

Taxonomic coverage

General taxonomic coverage description: Reino: Plantae
Filo: Tracheophyta
Clase: Equisetopsida
Orden: Pinales
Familia: Pinaceae
Taxonomic ranks
Kingdom: Plantae
Phylum: Tracheophyta
Class: Equisetopsida
Order: Pinales
Family: Pinaceae
Genus: Pinus
Subgenus: Pinus
Species: Pinus (Pinus) leiophylla, Pinus (Pinus) pseudostrobus
Common names: manzanita, ocote, ocote blanco, ocote chino, ocote negro, ocotl (Náhuatl), palo otomite, pino, pino blanco, pino calocote, pino chamaite, pino chamonque, pino chico, pino chino, pino coyote, pino negro, pino otomite, pino prieto, pino real, pino saguaco, sawá (Tarahumara), canish, mocochtaj (Tojolabal), montezumae, ocote, ocote blanco, ocote liso, ocotillo, ocotl (Náhuatl), pinabete, pino, pino amarillo, pino blanco, pino canis, pino cantzimbo, pino chamaite, pino chino, pino colorado, pino de cono chico, pino de hoja fina, pino huiyoco, pino lacio, pino liso, pino nayar, pino oaxacana, pino ocote, pino ortiguillo, pino real, pino rojo, pino triste, taj (Maya)

Spatial coverage

General spatial coverage: País: ESTADOS UNIDOS DE AMERICA (ARIZONA, NEW MEXICO)
País: MEXICO (CHIAPAS, CHIHUAHUA, COAHUILA DE ZARAGOZA, DISTRITO FEDERAL, DURANGO, GUANAJUATO, GUERRERO, HIDALGO, JALISCO, MEXICO, MICHOACAN DE OCAMPO, MORELOS, NAYARIT, NUEVO LEON, OAXACA, PUEBLA, QUERETARO DE ARTEAGA, SAN LUIS POTOSI, SINALOA, SONORA, TAMAULIPAS, TLAXCALA, VERACRUZ DE IGNACIO DE LA LLAVE, ZACATECAS)
Coordinates: 15°26'60''N and 32°57'0''N Latitude; 110°49'48''W and 92°8'24''W Longitude 

Natural collections description

Parent collection identifier: NO APLICA
Collection name: NO APLICA;NO APLICA;Forest Service, United States Department of Agriculture;FS-USDA
Collection identifier: SNIB-JM036-JM0361406F_SIB2015.10.21-ND
Natural collections description

Parent collection identifier: NO APLICA
Collection name: NO APLICA;NO APLICA;Comisión Nacional Forestal;CONAFOR
Collection identifier: SNIB-JM036-JM0361406F_SIB2015.10.21-ND
Curatorial unit: Between 1 and 1 (Ejemplar)

Datasets

Dataset description
Object name: Darwin Core Archive Modelaje de la Distribución geográfica de Pinus pseudostrobus y P. leiophylla
Character encoding: UTF-8
Format name: Darwin Core Archive format
Format version: 1.0
Distribution: https://www.snib.mx/iptconabio/archive.do?r=SNIB-JM036
Publication date of data: 2023-08-16
Language: Spanish
Licences of use: Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License

External datasets

Dataset description
Object name: SNIB-JM036-CSV.zip
Character encoding: UTF-8
Format name: CSV
Distribution: http://www.snib.mx/proyectos/JM036/SNIB-JM036-CSV.zip

Dataset description
Object name: SNIB-JM036-BD.zip
Character encoding: UTF-8
Format name: MDB
Format version: MicrosoftAccess2007
Distribution: http://www.snib.mx/proyectos/JM036/SNIB-JM036-BD.zip

Metadata language: Spanish
Date of metadata creation: 2023-08-15
Hierarchy level: Dataset